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Can someone define independence of two random variables with this "product rule", or are there any counterexamples?

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Independence implies uncorrelation

We say that two random variables are uncorrelated if $E[XY] = E[X]E[Y]$.

If $X$ and $Y$ are independent and discrete (this can also be extended to continuous random variables), then

$$p_{X,Y}(x,y) = p_X(x)p_Y(y)\qquad \forall (x,y)$$

Using this in the definition of $E[XY]$ and doing some rearrangements of terms, we have

\begin{align} E[XY] &= \sum_x\sum_y xyp_{X,Y}(x,y)\\ &= \sum_x\sum_y xyp_X(x)p_Y(y)\\ &= \sum_x\sum_y [xp_X(x)][yp_Y(y)]\\ &= \sum_xxp_X(x)\sum_yyp_Y(y)\\ &= E[X]E[Y] \end{align}

Therefore, if $X$ and $Y$ are independent, then they are uncorrelated.

$\\$

Uncorrelation does not imply independence (in general)

In general$^1$, it is false to say that if $X$ and $Y$ are uncorrelated, then they are independent. Let's see a counterexample. Let $X$ and $Y$ be random variables taking values in $\{(0,1), (1,0), (-1,0), (0,-1)\}$ with equal probability $0.25$. Then, $XY = 0$ with probability $1$, and therefore $E[XY] = 0$.

By other hand,

$\displaystyle p_X(x) = \left\{ \begin{array}{ll} \frac{1}{4} & x=-1\\ \frac{1}{2} & x=0\\ \frac{1}{4} & x=1\\ \end{array} \right. $ $\hspace{1cm}$ and $\hspace{1cm}$ $p_Y(y) = \left\{ \begin{array}{ll} \frac{1}{4} & y=-1\\ \frac{1}{2} & y=0\\ \frac{1}{4} & y=1\\ \end{array} \right. $

which implies that $E[X]=E[Y]=0$. Then, $E[XY] = E[X]E[Y]$ and the random variables are uncorrelated.

However,

$$p_X(1)p_Y(1) = \frac{1}{4}\frac{1}{4} \neq p_{X,Y}(1,1) = 0$$

which shows that $X$ and $Y$ are not independent.

We can conclude then that independence is a sufficient but not a necessary condition for uncorrelation.


$^1$ The only two exceptions I am aware of are the jointly Gaussian variables and two Bernoulli random variables...any other?

  • So you group terms into 2 sums because y's terms are not dependent on x's sum and vice versa please? – Avv Apr 06 '22 at 22:33
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    @Avv. I edited my answer to add two additional steps and hopefully make it clearer. In the third line, you move the factor $xp_X(x)$ out of the sum $\sum_y$ because it doesn't depend on $y$, only on $x$. – Carlos H. Mendoza-Cardenas Apr 07 '22 at 13:40
  • I upvoted the answer. It's very clear now. Thank you. – Avv Apr 07 '22 at 18:57
  • One more thing please. Why if $g(y) = E[X|Y=y]$ then $E[E[X|y=y]]$ is not expectation of a number but expectation of a random variable? Should not $E[X|y=y]$ be treated as a number not a random variable please so we have $E[E[X|y=y]] = E[X|Y=y]$? – Avv Apr 07 '22 at 19:47
  • @Avv, I am not sure how your question relates to the original question and my answer. Please elaborate.

    Your question seems to be a new question, and you should probably ask it in a new post, but I will try to answer in the next comment....

    – Carlos H. Mendoza-Cardenas Apr 08 '22 at 17:34
  • Assuming that $X,Y \in \mathbb{R}$ (not random vectors), $E[X \mid Y]$ is a random variable and $E[X \mid Y=y]$ is a scalar. The law of iterated expectations states that $E[E[X \mid Y]] = E[X]$. – Carlos H. Mendoza-Cardenas Apr 08 '22 at 17:41