Questions tagged [empirical-bayes]

This is for use on questions about empirical Bayes methods in statistics.

This is for use on questions about empirical Bayes methods in statistics.

19 questions
6
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1 answer

Inverse propagation of information from the PDF of $Y=f(X)$ to the PDF of $X$

Assume a non-linear relation between the random variables $\mathbf{Y} = f(\mathbf{X})$ , where $\mathbf{Y}\sim p_Y$ takes values $\mathbf{y} \in \mathbb{R}^M$ and $\mathbf{X}\sim p_X$ takes values $\mathbf{x} \in \mathbb{R}^N$ , with $M\leq N$ . My…
4
votes
0 answers

Generalizations of the Robbins lemma and Gaussian integration by parts

The Robbins lemma, named after Herbert Robbins, says that if $X\sim\operatorname{Poisson}(\lambda)$ and $g$ is a function for which $\operatorname{E}(|X g(X)|) < \infty,$ then $$\operatorname{E}(Xg(X)) = \lambda \operatorname{E}(g(X+1)).$$ "Gaussian…
2
votes
2 answers

Binary classification, Bayes classifier, Bayes decision boundary

I have recently come across this problem from a friend I help with stats occasionally. This however stumped me completely. I have looked online on basically every single website you can find but what I did find either I did not fully understand or I…
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Why does the uniform law of large numbers hold with non-i.i.d. random variables in Bayesian experimental design?

This paper, Asymptotic theory of information-theoretic experimental design , studies Bayesian experimental design where in each round $n$ , the experimenter selects a stimuli $X_n$ that maximizes mutual information between the parameter $\theta$ and…
1
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0 answers

True Loss for Bayes Classifier with Two Classes

For a Bayes classifier of two classes (say 0 and 1), I'm not understanding how the largest possible true risk would be 0.5? I'm assuming that we assign a 0 loss for a correct classification and a loss of 1 for a misclassification. So does that mean…
1
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1 answer

Bayesian Estimation of CDF

i'm getting pretty confused by the following problem, hope anyone can clarify my mind: Using a bayesian approach obtain a posteriori and interval estimations for $\mathbf{F}_{X}(x)$ using a Uniform(0,1) prior distribution for the parameter…
1
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0 answers

literature on total expectation Poisson-Gamma

Having the poisson gamma model: $$\lambda\sim Gamma(\alpha,\beta)$$ $$N|\lambda \sim Poiss(\lambda)$$ the expectation of N is $$E(N)=E(E(N|\lambda))=E(\lambda)=\frac{\alpha}{\beta}$$ Is there some literature, where I can learn, how to work with such…
1
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2 answers

Why Bayesian Approach don't use test data for model validation?

Up to I know the usual way of thinking in machine learning approach is to split the data in a train and test subsets. The first one is for fitting the model (with the support of a validation subset) and the second one is for compute model…
1
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0 answers

Inverse gamma distribution general question

I am reading a paper in the genomics field (Adjusting batch effects in microarray expression data using empirical Bayes methods. from W. Evan Johnson, Cheng Li), where they try to correct for some noise related to the experimental procedure. What…
1
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1 answer

Use Bayes Model to Forecast

if I have the following dataset and I'm interested to find the probability of it raining today given the last 2 days were raining. It seems like I could use Bayesian model to get the probability to forecast that. I'm not sure how do I start. 1) the…
1
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1 answer

Bayesian Rating

Suppose we're in a situation where we have a website and people rate products on that site. The total number of people on the site is $n$. The total number of people who rated a product $i$ is $c_i$, and the arithmetic mean of the rating of $i$ is…
0
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0 answers

Bayes Method How to draw coefficients summing to 1 and each of them follow exponential distribution

There is a question that how to draw the estimators (ratio estimator) if we know the prior for the numerator or the ratio estimator. Assume that we have three coefficients: $a_1,a_2$ and $a_3$ . And we beleive that all the three coefficients follow…
0
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0 answers

R: Generate samples from posterior with MCMC

p - The probability that a pcr test of a sick person, will show us a positive result. q - The probability that a pcr test of a healthy person, will show us a positive result. s - The general percentage of patients in the population. We assume that…
0
votes
1 answer

Posterior as Proportional to the Product of Likelihood and Prior

In many accounts of Bayesian inference the posterior is written as being proportional to the product of the likelihood and the prior: $$ P(H \mid D) \propto P(D \mid H) P(H) $$ Why write it as a proportionality ? How does that impact actual…
0
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1 answer

Calculating probability likelihood for a model

When given the following information: When spun on edge 250 times, a Belgian one-euro coin came up heads 140 times and tails 110. `It looks very suspicious to me,' said Barry Blight, a statistics lecturer at the London School of Economics. If the…
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